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June 2009

Daily Report for Wednesday, Jun 17, 2009

[7:52am ET] Technical analysts worldwide are reporting the breakdown of significant support levels, ie, a series of recent lows that brought in buying, which indicate that the equity market’s advance since early March is now over, and prices are most likely to slide into summer.

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Cara's Commentary & Community Chat, Wed., Jun 17, 2009

[6:18am ET] As the world turns and equity markets seem ready to break-out up or down – probably down – it pays to study currencies. Money flows between countries are sizeable at the most stable times, but the situation today is volatile and significant trends and cycles are unfolding.

Today I listed the Currency ETF list, in alphabetical order, along with the order of the Average Volume of daily trading. I’d like to hear your comments, any and all, on your experiences, insights, whatever, regarding these ETF’s.

[Daily Vol]...Currency ETF List
[Rank of 31]

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Daily Report for Tuesday, Jun 16, 2009

[8:52am ET] Monday opened in North America with a thud as a wave of selling engulfed the market for the first two hours as equity prices dropped to major support levels of S&P 920 and DJIA 8600. Although the levels remained stable thereafter, and commodity prices started catching bids at 12 noon ET, the final result was a serious blow to the Bulls, as all 30 DJIA components and 99 of 100 Cara 100 stocks closed down on the session.

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Cara's Commentary & Community Chat, Tuesday, Jun 16, 2009

[7:25am ET] Yesterday, I made the point that a move was afoot by Interventionists to suppress concerns over the logical result of the Great Reflation Era, that being extreme inflation, and there were comments from people who believe that printing all this money would not head off the coming deflation. All I can do is keep the discussion simple in that if there is a massive action, I expect a massive reaction.

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Cara's Commentary & Community Chat, Monday, Jun 15, 2009

[7:50am ET] This morning, the market picture can be summed up as follows: global equities down; metals and precious metal prices down; US bonds up (yields down); and US Dollar up. Interventionists have stepped up their campaign to suppress the logical result of the Great Reflation Era, which is that extreme inflation is the most probable outcome.

In any case, wait 24 hours and the weather will change. More importantly, it’s time for Americans and the US media to ponder the issues of the day because the fate of the next generation or two of America will be decided this year.

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Week in Review #24, 2009

[1:12pm ET] What can I say this weekend that wasn’t provided in the Daily Reports and Community Chats this week. The capital markets are still quite volatile, but we are starting to feel somewhat more comfortable in terms of the Humungous Bank & Broker group are plowing through their monster capital raises, and, sooner than we know it, they will back off and let the markets move higher or lower on their own.

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Daily Report for Saturday, Jun 13, 2009

[11:58am ET] The trading day opened in North America on Friday with news that European Industrial Production fell by an April record of -21.6%. This exceeded the expected fall of 19.8% and led to a decline in the Euro and rally in the $USD. This news put downward pressure on equity markets, but particularly on gold, oil and respective equities.

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Cara's Commentary & Community Chat, Saturday, Jun 13, 2009

[8:55am ET] Although the Paychex Inc stock chart (PAYX) looks not dissimilar to the broad equity market, Goldman Sachs has downgraded the stock from Sell to Conviction Sell. Clearly there are a number of corporate client losses through the recession and the employee numbers per client are falling for this payroll accounting service company, but if Goldman sees Green Shoots and Abby Joseph Cohen envisions clear skies ahead for corporate America, I am puzzled why they now rate Paychex the worst level in their coverage.

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Daily Report for Friday, Jun 12, 2009

[9:58am ET] Yesterday was Bank of America Day in US capital markets. Congressional testimony by BAC CEO Ken Lewis did not seriously damage the roles played by the US Fed and US Treasury Department. Business as usual. Well-timed as usual were the rating upgrades of BAC by their peers in Humungous Bank & Broker (HB&B), and the promotion by the Friend of The Street, Jim Cramer.

Bank of America estimates raised at Morgan Stanley through 2011. Investment banking and retail brokerage revenue likely to top expectations in the coming quarters. Overweight rating and $32 price target.

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Cara's Commentary & Community Chat, Friday, Jun 12, 2009

[7:45am ET] Will we ever get to the bottom of the controversy that Ken Lewis stirred up with respect to behind-the-scenes management of the private sector by monetary authorities such as the US Federal Reserve Bank and the US Treasury Department?

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